2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 114 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$729/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$378
Tax + insurance
−$91
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$153
Net cashflow
$68/mo
Annual
$813/yr
Cap rate
7.42%
Cash-on-cash
4.03%
DSCR
1.18
1% rule
1.01%
Cash to close
$20,160
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $72k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $68 ($813/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($729 rent vs $72k).
It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $498 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kelly-Pharr El (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,221 of 4,322 statewide, top 75%, 671 students, 91% FRL); Jaime Escalante Middle (math 6% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 566 students, 99% FRL); Psja Southwest Early College H S (math 18% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 1,692 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 72% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 541 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 73d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 3.8% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 17% of the median local income ($53k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repair.
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt, detracting from curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-76HVZ94JKQW0TR
· Data 17 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29