2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
784 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Manufactured
· Active
· 66 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$942/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$414
Tax + insurance
−$94
HOA
−$40
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$198
Net cashflow
$196/mo
Annual
$2,350/yr
Cap rate
9.27%
Cash-on-cash
10.62%
DSCR
1.47
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$22,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $79k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $196 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($942 rent vs $79k).
It's been on market 66 days — a 6% lower offer ($74k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $74k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $546 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#245 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Pharr-San Juan-Alamo ISD (suburban): math 18% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #740 of 826 in TX (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Kelly-Pharr El (math 21% / reading 27%, grade F, #3,221 of 4,322 statewide, top 75%, 671 students, 91% FRL); Jaime Escalante Middle (math 6% / reading 21%, grade F, #1,602 of 1,662 statewide, top 97%, 566 students, 99% FRL); Psja Southwest Early College H S (math 18% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,183 of 1,632 statewide, top 73%, 1,692 students, 98% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 72% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 458 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 64% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.4% in Pharr — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 66 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Exterior siding
— Weathered and in need of repair.
Major: Landscaping
— Overgrown and unkempt, detracting from curb appeal.
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29