2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 254 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,185/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$184
Tax + insurance
−$146
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$249
Net cashflow
$607/mo
Annual
$7,278/yr
Cap rate
27.09%
Cash-on-cash
74.27%
DSCR
4.30
1% rule
3.39%
Cash to close
$9,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
It's been on market 254 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $4k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#348 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, crime F, amenities F.
Ecorse Public Schools (suburban): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #536 of 540 in MI (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ralph J Bunche Academy (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 318 students, 90% FRL); Grandport Elementary Academy (math 2% / reading 8%, grade F, #488 of 493 statewide, top 100%, 335 students, 89% FRL); Ecorse Community High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #659 of 713 statewide, top 97%, 296 students, 81% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 4.5% of price; built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 90d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (50%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $18k; list at $35k implies a 94% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 9.4% in Ecorse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 254 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Roof
— Signs of aging and potential leaks
Moderate: Siding
— Wear and tear visible
Minor: Landscaping
— Overgrown and needs trimming
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