3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,232 sqft ·
Built 1994
· Manufactured
· Active
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,427/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$361
Tax + insurance
−$179
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$300
Net cashflow
$587/mo
Annual
$7,049/yr
Cap rate
18.70%
Cash-on-cash
44.33%
DSCR
2.97
1% rule
2.07%
Cash to close
$19,292
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $69k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $587 ($7k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $476 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#216 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Weld County School District No. Re-9 (rural): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #117 of 176 in CO (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 10% / reading 34%, grade F, #651 of 966 statewide, top 68%, 473 students, 41% FRL); Highland High School (math 24% / reading 54%, grade F, #176 of 381 statewide, top 49%, 285 students, 38% FRL) — zoned schools at 39% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
Market conditions: 45 active listings in the ZIP; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 18.7% vs local median 1.9% in Ault — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-77CA475JR0ZDPT
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29