3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,418 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$687
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$346
Net cashflow
$-1,266/mo
Annual
$-15,194/yr
Cap rate
2.06%
Cash-on-cash
-15.12%
DSCR
0.33
1% rule
0.46%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $135k (62.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (54.0% below list).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (62.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $-62 appreciation (-0.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#915 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools D-, amenities F.
Pocono Mountain SD (rural): math 37% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #245 of 539 in PA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 93 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 2.1% vs local median 3.8% in Penn Estates — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7AWTRD5N1DRGPZ
· Data 5 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29