8 bd · 4.0 ba ·
— sqft ·
Built 1951
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 135 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$7,549/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,622
Tax + insurance
−$833
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,585
Net cashflow
$2,508/mo
Annual
$30,100/yr
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.50%
DSCR
1.96
1% rule
1.51%
Cash to close
$140,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $500k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($30k/yr) — positive. Per door: $627/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $500k).
It's been on market 135 days — a 12% lower offer ($440k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $440k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#155 in IL, #2,847 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F.
Proviso Twp Hsd 209 (suburban): math 12% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #507 of 620 in IL (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Proviso West High School (math 6% / reading 11%, grade F, #584 of 693 statewide, top 85%, 1,868 students, 0% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 41 active listings in the ZIP; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $140k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 5.3% in Bellwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 135 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7BE63GDA5NGR76
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29