3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,862 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 142 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,051/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$598
Tax + insurance
−$137
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$95/mo
Annual
$1,140/yr
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.57%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$31,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Denison (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #16 of 513 in OK (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in McCurtain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
McCurtain County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $85k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7BQ0HC6MYQPDFC
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29