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B- Composite 65.19
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +9.6/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$113,999

1701 Tipton Ln · Idabel, OK 74745
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 142 Days on market
Built 1986 0.30 ac lot Est $209k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Can't beat the price and location. Located on the north side of Idabel close Hwy 259 but yet still a country setting. No major repairs needed. 4 Bedrooms, 2 bath, large living area and good outdoor space. This property is for sale AS IS.

Key facts

  • 0.3 acre lot
  • Built 1986
  • Listed 142 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $114k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $95 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 63/100 on livability (#202 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-, health & safety A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Denison (rural): math 60% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #16 of 513 in OK (top 3%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 59 active listings in the ZIP; 16 units permitted in McCurtain County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($788 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (9.2% local appreciation)).
  • McCurtain County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (9.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 142 days — a 12% lower offer ($100k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $85k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 22% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,319 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 142 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.29%
Cash-on-cash
3.57%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$208,544
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
604 N Denison Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,656 (-11%) 5mo $185,000 $112 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

9.2% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
2.94×
Total profit
$61,939
Equity at exit
$96,124
10-year hold
IRR
22.4%
Equity multiple
6.52×
Total profit
$176,260
Equity at exit
$200,674

Cash invested: $31,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74745

Home prices YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
59
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,051 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$598
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,077/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$221
Net cashflow
$95

Break-even live

Break-even rent $930
Max offer price $113,999
Occupancy floor 86%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,500
Closing costs
$3,420
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2024-08-12
    status Pending
  2. 2024-06-27
    price $113,999
  3. 2024-05-28
    price $114,999
  4. 2024-03-25
    status Active
  5. 2024-03-14
    status Pending
  6. 2024-03-11
    listed $119,000 Active
  7. 2013-08-09
    soldstatus $85,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,077 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,077 · $90/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,609
− Mortgage interest
−$6,386
− Property taxes
−$1,077
− Insurance
−$570
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,009
− Management
−$1,009
− Depreciation
−$3,316
Taxable loss
−$758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$182
After-tax cash flow
$1,322/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Denison
NCES district ID
4009720
Math proficiency
60% ▲ 10.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$40,168
Composite
47.83/100
National rank
#4869
State rank
#16 of 513 in OK

Livability — Idabel

Score
63/100
State rank
#202
US rank
#15174

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment F Housing A- Health & safety A- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Idabel, OK
Population (ZIP)
9,756

Population outlook (McCurtain County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
32,668 people
By 2030
32,323 · -1.1%
By 2040
31,777 · -2.7%
By 2050
31,436 · -3.8%
By 2075
31,574 · -3.3%
By 2100
30,839 · -5.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 57% Two or more races 16% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 9% Native American 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · McCurtain

2024 margin
Solid R (+68.9) · D 15.0% · R 83.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-21.9pp toward R · 2008: -47.0pp · 2024: -68.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+68.9 2020: R+66.5 2016: R+63.9 2012: R+51.6 2008: R+47.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 9.20%
Current HPI
255.6557
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+34.1% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2024-08-12 Pending MLSOK
  • 2024-06-27 Price Changed $113,999 MLSOK
  • 2024-05-28 Price Changed $114,999 MLSOK
  • 2024-03-25 Relisted MLSOK
  • 2024-03-14 Pending MLSOK
  • 2024-03-11 Listed $119,000 MLSOK
  • 2013-08-09 Sold (Public Records) $85,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,077 · +38.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…