3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,712 sqft ·
Built 1973
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 271 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,230/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$298
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$258
Net cashflow
$-113/mo
Annual
$-1,351/yr
Cap rate
5.39%
Cash-on-cash
-3.22%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $123k (17.9% below list).
It's been on market 271 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (17.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $15k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#217 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Boone County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #26 of 55 in WV (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Madison Elementary (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #261 of 377 statewide, top 75%, 273 students, 0% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #89 of 109 statewide, top 82%, 442 students, 0% FRL); Scott High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 529 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Boone County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $150k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$41k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 271 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29