3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,568 sqft ·
Built 2004
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 39 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,138/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$256
Tax + insurance
−$82
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$449
Net cashflow
$1,351/mo
Annual
$16,211/yr
Cap rate
39.44%
Cash-on-cash
118.40%
DSCR
6.27
1% rule
4.37%
Cash to close
$13,692
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $49k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $49k).
It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $47k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $338 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#185 in MI, #4,678 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Huron Valley Schools (suburban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #87 of 540 in MI (top 16%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 65 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 39.4% vs local median 2.9% in Wixom — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Driveway
— The driveway has some minor cracks and wear.
Minor: Landscaping
— The landscaping could benefit from some trimming and maintenance to enhance curb appeal.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7DKA9ZCDZCYVZS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29