201 Southern Grove Rd

Sterlington, LA 71280

$277,757D

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,961 sqft · Built 2026 · SingleFamily · Pending · 38 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,500/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,690
• Tax + insurance: −$537
• HOA: −$21
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$525
• Net cashflow: $-273/mo
• Annual: $-3,280/yr
• Cap rate: 5.28%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.63%
• DSCR: 0.84
• 1% rule: 0.78%
• Cash to close: $90,244

Investor read

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k. Condition is rated good.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.0% below list).
• It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $250k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
• Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.