🏗️ New Construction
201 Southern Grove Rd · Sterlington, LA
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.4/10.0
$277,757
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
The IRISES V B in Somerset Park community offers a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom, open design. Features: double vanity, garden tub, separate shower, and a walk~in closet in the primary suite, double vanity in the second bathroom, a kitchen island overlooking the living room, spacious walk~in pantry, covered front porch, covered rear patio, ceiling fans in the living room and primary bedroom are standard, smart connect wi~fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, post tension slab, landscaping, architectural 30~year shingles, flood lights, and more!! Energy Efficient Features: a tankless gas water heater, a kitchen appliance package, low E tilt~in windows, and more!!!
Key facts
- Double vanity
- Walk-in closet
- Separate shower
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: DSL/Cable available; Located in the Somerset Park subdivision
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $250 (about $20.83/month); No association amenities listed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces; Additional open parking
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
- Home design: Single family residence; Site-built home; One level (entry level 1); Facing/entry information not provided
- Construction: Brick veneer and stucco exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction / currently under construction
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Landscaped and cleared lot; Paved road access; New construction / under construction
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Tankless water heater; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
- Laundry & utility: Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $250k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.63%
- DSCR
- 0.84
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $322,301
- List price
- $277,757
- Delta
- -13.82%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Southern Grove Rd | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,020 (+3%) | 4mo | $289,000 | $143 | 83 |
| 301 Southern Grove Rd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,926 (-2%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $145 | 81 |
| 302 Winkler Way | 0.33mi | 4/2.5 | 1,968 (+0%) | 13mo | $322,900 | $164 | 71 |
| 207 Winkler Way | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,967 (+0%) | 4mo | $305,000 | $155 | 71 |
| 202 Thatcher Ln | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,863 (-5%) | 3mo | $305,000 | $164 | 66 |
| 211 Barker Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 | 1,838 (-6%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $158 | 65 |
| 107 Vieux Carre | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,800 (-8%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $175 | 64 |
| 414 Thatcher Ln | 0.24mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,109 (+8%) | 11mo | $335,000 | $159 | 60 |
| 204 Hoover Dr | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 | 2,192 (+12%) | 3mo | $311,700 | $142 | 48 |
| 212 Hoover Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.0 | 1,706 (-13%) | 10mo | $270,000 | $158 | 46 |
| 123 Vieux Carre Pl | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,675 (-15%) | 12mo | $325,000 | $194 | 46 |
| 121 Vieux Carre | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (-14%) | 13mo | $325,000 | $193 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.75×
- Total profit
- $158,174
- Equity at exit
- $290,354
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.31×
- Total profit
- $479,589
- Equity at exit
- $626,160
Cash invested: $90,244 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71280
- Home prices YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,690
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$403 /mo · $4,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$134
- HOA
- −$21
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$525
- Net cashflow
- $-273
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $80,575
- Closing costs
- $9,669
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115 Lynnhaven St Monroe, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1710 | $2,500 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $21 · $252/yr
- Likely covers
- watergaslandscaping
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-02status $277,757 Pending 38 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $277,757 Active 38 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $277,757 Active 37 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $277,757 Active 36 DOM
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2026-04-25$277,757 Active 799-char remark
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2026-04-24$277,757 Active 687-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,054
- − Property taxes
- −$4,835
- − Insurance
- −$1,612
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,400
- − Management
- −$2,400
- − HOA
- −$252
- − Depreciation
- −$9,376
- Taxable loss
- −$8,928
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,143
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,137/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos
This home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and energy-efficient upgrades to further increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort
- Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and adds modern amenities
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value ↑
- Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort ↑
- Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and adds modern amenities ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ouachita Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201200
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -38.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,316
- Composite
- 32.14/100
- National rank
- #5791
- State rank
- #26 of 98 in LA
Livability — Sterlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #60
- US rank
- #7741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,999
Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 163,370 people
- By 2030
- 165,520 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 167,652 · +2.6%
- By 2050
- 166,699 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 156,348 · -4.3%
- By 2100
- 134,102 · -17.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 11.14%
- Current HPI
- 283.4492
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — NELABOR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $277,757 NELABOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…