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201 Southern Grove Rd 🏗️ New Construction
D Composite 44.52
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0

$277,757

201 Southern Grove Rd · Sterlington, LA 71280
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,961 sqft · SingleFamily · 38 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 6,969 sqft lot $21/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

The IRISES V B in Somerset Park community offers a 4 bedroom, 2 full bathroom, open design. Features: double vanity, garden tub, separate shower, and a walk~in closet in the primary suite, double vanity in the second bathroom, a kitchen island overlooking the living room, spacious walk~in pantry, covered front porch, covered rear patio, ceiling fans in the living room and primary bedroom are standard, smart connect wi~fi thermostat, smoke and carbon monoxide detectors, post tension slab, landscaping, architectural 30~year shingles, flood lights, and more!! Energy Efficient Features: a tankless gas water heater, a kitchen appliance package, low E tilt~in windows, and more!!!

Key facts

  • Double vanity
  • Walk-in closet
  • Separate shower

Tags

DOUBLE VANITYGARDEN TUBSEPARATE SHOWERWALK-IN CLOSETKITCHEN ISLANDSPACIOUS WALK-IN PANTRY

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: DSL/Cable available; Located in the Somerset Park subdivision
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $250 (about $20.83/month); No association amenities listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces; Additional open parking
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available and connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Site-built home; One level (entry level 1); Facing/entry information not provided
  • Construction: Brick veneer and stucco exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as new construction / currently under construction
  • Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Landscaped and cleared lot; Paved road access; New construction / under construction

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Double pane windows; Tankless water heater; Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Electric range
  • Laundry & utility: Tankless water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $277,757 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $322,301.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $278k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-273 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $250k (10.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $250k (10.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#60 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Ouachita Parish (suburban): math 31% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #26 of 98 in LA (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sterlington Elementary School (math 56% / reading 65%, grade B-, #62 of 646 statewide, top 10%, 820 students, 45% FRL); Sterlington Middle School (math 50% / reading 58%, grade B-, #19 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 423 students, 48% FRL); Sterlington High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #58 of 265 statewide, top 23%, 539 students, 41% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 53% at this address vs 38% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Ouachita Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 189 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 345 units permitted in Ouachita Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $34k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$55k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($269k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $250,000 (10.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.63%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$322,301
List price
$277,757
Delta
-13.82%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
304 Southern Grove Rd 0.08mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,020 (+3%) 4mo $289,000 $143 83
301 Southern Grove Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,926 (-2%) 10mo $280,000 $145 81
302 Winkler Way 0.33mi 4/2.5 1,968 (+0%) 13mo $322,900 $164 71
207 Winkler Way 0.44mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,967 (+0%) 4mo $305,000 $155 71
202 Thatcher Ln 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,863 (-5%) 3mo $305,000 $164 66
211 Barker Dr 0.49mi 4/2.0 1,838 (-6%) 2mo $290,000 $158 65
107 Vieux Carre 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,800 (-8%) 8mo $315,000 $175 64
414 Thatcher Ln 0.24mi 5/2.5 (+1) 2,109 (+8%) 11mo $335,000 $159 60
204 Hoover Dr 0.56mi 4/3.0 2,192 (+12%) 3mo $311,700 $142 48
212 Hoover Dr 0.51mi 4/2.0 1,706 (-13%) 10mo $270,000 $158 46
123 Vieux Carre Pl 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,675 (-15%) 12mo $325,000 $194 46
121 Vieux Carre 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,680 (-14%) 13mo $325,000 $193 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.7%
Equity multiple
2.75×
Total profit
$158,174
Equity at exit
$290,354
10-year hold
IRR
19.6%
Equity multiple
6.31×
Total profit
$479,589
Equity at exit
$626,160

Cash invested: $90,244 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71280

Home prices YoY
4.1%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
9.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,690
Tax est. 1.5%
$403 /mo · $4,835/yr
Insurance
$134
HOA
$21
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$-273

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,846
Max offer price $282,747
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$80,575
Closing costs
$9,669
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 Lynnhaven St Monroe, LA 3.0 2.0 1710 $2,500 $1.46 44d 1 0.12mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$21 · $252/yr
Likely covers
watergaslandscaping

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $277,757 Pending 38 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $277,757 Active 38 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $277,757 Active 37 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $277,757 Active 36 DOM
  5. 2026-04-25
    listed $277,757 Active 799-char remark
  6. 2026-04-24
    listed $277,757 Active 687-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$18,054
− Property taxes
−$4,835
− Insurance
−$1,612
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− HOA
−$252
− Depreciation
−$9,376
Taxable loss
−$8,928
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,143
After-tax cash flow
$-1,137/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 7 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in excellent condition with modern updates and a good curb appeal. It is move-in ready and would benefit from some exterior painting and energy-efficient upgrades to further increase its value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort
  • Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and adds modern amenities

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior brick — Enhances curb appeal and can increase both resale and rental value
  • Both Replace ceiling fans with energy-efficient models — Saves on energy costs and improves comfort
  • Both Install smart home security system — Enhances safety and adds modern amenities

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ouachita Parish
NCES district ID
2201200
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -31.00%
Median HH income
$43,316
Composite
32.14/100
National rank
#5791
State rank
#26 of 98 in LA

Livability — Sterlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#7741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
4,999

Population outlook (Ouachita County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
163,370 people
By 2030
165,520 · +1.3%
By 2040
167,652 · +2.6%
By 2050
166,699 · +2.0%
By 2075
156,348 · -4.3%
By 2100
134,102 · -17.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Danish 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Ouachita

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.5% · R 63.3% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.7pp toward R · 2008: -25.2pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+23.6 2016: R+25.4 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+25.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.14%
Current HPI
283.4492
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Pending NELABOR
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $277,757 NELABOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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