3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
924 sqft ·
Built 2013
· Manufactured
· Active
· 45 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,107/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$225
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$232
Net cashflow
$-58/mo
Annual
$-701/yr
Cap rate
5.77%
Cash-on-cash
-1.85%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-58 ($-701/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $127k (6.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $111k (18.0% below list).
It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (18.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $5k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Boise Independent District (urban): math 42% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #36 of 92 in ID (top 39%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: White Pine Elementary School (math 48% / reading 54%, grade C-, #140 of 357 statewide, top 40%, 548 students, 23% FRL); Les Bois Junior High School (math 45% / reading 60%, grade C+, #25 of 109 statewide, top 23%, 705 students, 15% FRL); Timberline High School (math 53% / reading 74%, grade B-, #14 of 169 statewide, top 8%, 1,398 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools average 16% FRL vs 33% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 5,129 units permitted in Ada County in 2024 (414 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ada County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 2.6% in Boise City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7FQYX0BT45MDY3
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29