4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,152 sqft ·
Built 2005
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 125 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,431/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$317
HOA
−$60
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$511
Net cashflow
$75/mo
Annual
$902/yr
Cap rate
6.62%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$78,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $75 ($902/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $243k (13.1% below list).
It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $243k (13.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#44 in GA, #4,976 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
Pickens County (rural): math 35% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #59 of 174 in GA (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Jasper Middle School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #178 of 470 statewide, top 39%, 628 students, 48% FRL); Pickens County High School (math 34% / reading 28%, grade F, #127 of 424 statewide, top 30%, 1,259 students, 36% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 723 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 260 units permitted in Pickens County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $96k; list at $280k implies a 191% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7G44G92HQC0AEW
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29