4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,428 sqft ·
Built 1977
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 50 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,193/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,259
Tax + insurance
−$325
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$671
Net cashflow
$939/mo
Annual
$11,272/yr
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.77%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.33%
Cash to close
$67,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rush City Public School District (rural): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #195 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 362 units permitted in Chisago County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Chisago County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $180k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7GNNN03EV4TAD5
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29