645 W 3rd St · Rush City, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +1.3/10.0
$240,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
Key facts
- 7,056 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1977
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Rush City Public School District (rural): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #195 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 362 units permitted in Chisago County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chisago County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $180k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.77%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $301,640
- List price
- $240,000
- Delta
- -20.43%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 2 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $20,937
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $95,275
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55069
- Home prices YoY
- -1.7%
- Active inventory
- 49
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,193 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax from tax record
- −$225 /mo · $2,696/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$671
- Net cashflow
- $939
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $240,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-05-15status Active 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2026-05-13historical Contingent - Inspection 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2026-04-30price $240,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2026-04-13$250,000 Active 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2026-04-10historical $250,000 1206-char remark
Show marketing remark (1206 chars)
Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!
-
2004-02-20soldstatus $180,300
-
2004-01-29soldstatus $180,300 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.
-
2003-12-01historical 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.
-
2003-10-17$174,900 248-char remark
Show marketing remark (248 chars)
Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,696 · $225/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,696 · $225/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,318
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$2,696
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,065
- − Management
- −$3,065
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $7,865
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,888
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,384/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rush City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2732550
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,045
- Composite
- 37.08/100
- National rank
- #4499
- State rank
- #195 of 301 in MN
Livability — Rush City
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #355
- US rank
- #8328
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rush City, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,936
Population outlook (Chisago County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,187 people
- By 2030
- 55,036 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 53,293 · -3.4%
- By 2050
- 49,157 · -10.9%
- By 2075
- 38,399 · -30.4%
- By 2100
- 24,646 · -55.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chisago
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+30.5 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+10.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -7.49%
- Current HPI
- 428.9296
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+37.2% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Relisted — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-13 Contingent — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $240,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-13 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-10 Coming Soon $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $180,300 Public Records
- 2004-01-29 Sold (MLS) $180,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-12-01 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2003-10-17 Listed $174,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,696 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…