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645 W 3rd St
B+ Composite 76.72
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +1.3/10.0

$240,000

645 W 3rd St · Rush City, MN 55069
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,428 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1977 7,056 sqft lot $99/sqft · 20% below area Est $302k · 20% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

Key facts

  • 7,056 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1977

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $240k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $939 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
  • Recommended offer: $233k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#355 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Rush City Public School District (rural): math 37% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #195 of 301 in MN (top 65%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 49 active listings in the ZIP; 362 units permitted in Chisago County in 2024 (121 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chisago County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($233k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $180k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $232,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.33%
Cap rate
10.99%
Cash-on-cash
16.77%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$301,640
List price
$240,000
Delta
-20.43%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
2 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.0%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$20,937
Equity at exit
$35,785
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$95,275
Equity at exit
$20,751

Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55069

Home prices YoY
-1.7%
Active inventory
49
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,193 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,259
Tax from tax record
$225 /mo · $2,696/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$671
Net cashflow
$939

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,004
Max offer price $240,000
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$60,000
Closing costs
$7,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    days on market $240,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $240,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-05-15
    status Active 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  5. 2026-05-13
    historical Contingent - Inspection 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  6. 2026-04-30
    price $240,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  7. 2026-04-13
    listed $250,000 Active 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  8. 2026-04-10
    historical $250,000 1206-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1206 chars)

    Step into the potential of this spacious one level home with a finished basement, offering room to grow and make it your own. Featuring 4 generously sized bedrooms and abundant storage throughout, this home is designed for both comfort and functionality. The kitchen boasts an impressive amount of cabinet space along with a large pantry, perfect for keeping everything organized. Just off the dining room, a deck provides an ideal spot for relaxing evenings or entertaining guests. Downstairs, the finished basement expands your living space with endless possibilities, whether you need a family room, home office, or recreation area. This property presents a fantastic opportunity to build equity with your personal updates and finishing touches. Major improvements have already been started, including a roof replacement in 2020, some updated decking, added gutters, a newer stainless steel dishwasher, and garage doors that are just 2 years old. An additional storage shed adds even more convenience. Located near schools, parks, and a community pool, this home combines value, space, and location. With so much potential and priced to sell quickly, this is an opportunity you won’t want to miss!

  9. 2004-02-20
    soldstatus $180,300
  10. 2004-01-29
    soldstatus $180,300 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.

  11. 2003-12-01
    historical 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.

  12. 2003-10-17
    listed $174,900 248-char remark
    Show marketing remark (248 chars)

    Over 2,000 finished sq.ft. Home has been comletely updated with newer 6 panel doors, newer apppliances, newer cabinets, newer floor coverings. Hardwood floors, porcelain bath floor, ceramic tile, whirlpool tub. Oversize aggregate patio and deck.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,696 · $225/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,696 · $225/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$38,318
− Mortgage interest
−$13,444
− Property taxes
−$2,696
− Insurance
−$1,200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,065
− Management
−$3,065
− Depreciation
−$6,982
Taxable income
$7,865
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,888
After-tax cash flow
$9,384/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rush City Public School District
NCES district ID
2732550
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$60,045
Composite
37.08/100
National rank
#4499
State rank
#195 of 301 in MN

Livability — Rush City

Score
69/100
State rank
#355
US rank
#8328

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety C User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rush City, MN
Population (ZIP)
5,936

Population outlook (Chisago County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
55,187 people
By 2030
55,036 · -0.3%
By 2040
53,293 · -3.4%
By 2050
49,157 · -10.9%
By 2075
38,399 · -30.4%
By 2100
24,646 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Black 8% Two or more races 3% Asian 2% Native American 1%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Chisago

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.9% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: -10.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.4 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+30.5 2012: R+12.6 2008: R+10.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.49%
Current HPI
428.9296
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+37.2% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-15 Relisted NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Contingent NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $240,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-13 Listed $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-10 Coming Soon $250,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2004-02-20 Sold (Public Records) $180,300 Public Records
  • 2004-01-29 Sold (MLS) $180,300 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-12-01 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-10-17 Listed $174,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,696 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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