4 bd · 4.0 ba ·
740 sqft ·
Built 1985
· Condo
· Under Contract
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,521
Tax + insurance
−$483
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$508
Net cashflow
$-92/mo
Annual
$-1,101/yr
Cap rate
5.91%
Cash-on-cash
-1.36%
DSCR
0.94
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$81,200
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/4.0-bath condo listed at $290k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-92 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (4.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $242k (16.5% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $242k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#16 in TX, #1,208 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: cost of living D, crime F.
Eanes ISD (suburban): math 70% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 826 in TX (top 1%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 4% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Cedar Creek El (math 73% / reading 73%, grade A, #101 of 4,322 statewide, top 2%, 524 students, 7% FRL); Hill Country Middle (math 72% / reading 72%, grade A, #52 of 1,662 statewide, top 3%, 975 students, 0% FRL); Westlake H S (math 76% / reading 89%, grade A, #23 of 1,632 statewide, top 1%, 2,825 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools at 2% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 237 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; high-income renter base; 17,121 units permitted in Travis County in 2024 (11,963 in 5+ unit buildings).
Travis County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 1.8% in Austin — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent is only 15% of the median local income ($188k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7KRKSB6F2MNTV5
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29