3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,370 sqft ·
Built 1972
· Townhouse
· Pending
· 4 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,223/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$255
HOA
−$210
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$504/mo
Annual
$6,051/yr
Cap rate
10.33%
Cash-on-cash
14.41%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.48%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath townhouse listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $504 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#16 in KS, #1,851 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, commute D+.
Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Oak Park-Carpenter Elementary (math 64% / reading 66%, grade B+, #43 of 684 statewide, top 6%, 503 students, 23% FRL).
Zoned-school proficiency averages 65% at this address vs 42% district-wide (+23 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Shawnee Mission Pub Schools average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.9%/yr); 141 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.9% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 3.9% in Overland Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($81k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7MBSC46ZDRXZRC
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29