6 bd · 3.0 ba ·
3,432 sqft ·
Built 2007
· SingleFamily
· Coming Soon
· 5 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,992/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,880
Tax + insurance
−$430
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$628
Net cashflow
$29/mo
Annual
$349/yr
Cap rate
6.39%
Cash-on-cash
0.35%
DSCR
1.02
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$100,380
Investor read
This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $358k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($349/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (16.5% below list).
Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $299k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Live Oak Elementary (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #850 of 1,228 statewide, top 70%, 891 students, 85% FRL); Clements Middle School (math 6% / reading 17%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 754 students, 85% FRL); Newton High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 2,472 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 125% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $164k; list at $358k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Porterdale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
At $2,992/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 1172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7MSZYV530DVB32
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29