235 Hillside Oak Ln · Porterdale, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.7/30.0
- ARV discount +9.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$358,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic, spacious open floor plan! 2-story 6 bed/4.5 bath, large formal living & dining rooms, Chef's eat-in kitchen w/center island & stained cabinets is open to the fireside family room, expansive master suite w/ trey ceilings, sitting room, luxury bath & huge walk-in closet! Convenient main level bedroom/office w/ full bath. 4 secondary bedrooms w/ walk-in closets and laundry rm upstairs. Designer lighting throughout. Large & level backyard w/ plenty of room for a pool. Great swim/tennis community located in popular Newton county school district.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Separate dining room
- Spa-like bathroom
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.25 acre; Public records used for building and lot measurements
- Financial info: Listing sold As Is; Financing accepted: Cash, Conventional, FHA, VA
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (HOA) present; HOA fee: $300 (includes grounds maintenance); Community features: sidewalks, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; Attached garage
- Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (connected); 220-volt electric; Natural gas available; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Phone service available; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family house (residential); Two-story; Resale property; Subdivision: Oakwood Manor
- Construction: Built in 2007; Vinyl siding; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio (screened); Back yard fencing; Shed(s); Level lot; Other exterior features
Interior
- Kitchen: Breakfast bar; Kitchen island; Solid surface counters; Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms total; 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms; 1 bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (forced air); Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Double vanity; High ceilings; In-law floorplan; Separate shower; Tile bath; Entrance foyer; Walk-in closets; Gas-started fireplace in family room; No common walls (single-family); Levels: Two
- Laundry & utility: Laundry closet on upper level; Laundry located in hall
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $358k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($349/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $299k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $299k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 5.1% in Porterdale — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#447 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+, housing B; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Newton County (suburban): math 17% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #137 of 174 in GA (top 79%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Live Oak Elementary (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #850 of 1,228 statewide, top 70%, 891 students, 85% FRL); Clements Middle School (math 6% / reading 17%, grade F, #424 of 470 statewide, top 90%, 754 students, 85% FRL); Newton High School (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #365 of 424 statewide, top 88%, 2,472 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools average 85% FRL vs 59% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 419 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,480 units permitted in Newton County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,992/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($80k/yr) (locally 1172% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Newton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 14y ago; this cycle's ask is 125% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $164k; list at $358k implies a 119% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.35%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,520
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120 Oak Manor Dr | 0.08mi | 6/4.0 | 3,432 (0%) | 8mo | $347,500 | $101 | 86 |
| 160 Oak Manor Dr | 0.03mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,432 (0%) | 11mo | $379,000 | $110 | 81 |
| 100 Oak Manor Dr | 0.11mi | 5/4.0 (-1) | 3,432 (0%) | 19mo | $365,000 | $106 | 70 |
| 35 Arbor Lake Dr | 0.15mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,152 (-8%) | 21mo | $375,000 | $119 | 56 |
| 365 Silver Willow Walk | 0.26mi | 5/3.0 (-1) | 3,101 (-10%) | 18mo | $355,000 | $114 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.40×
- Total profit
- $-59,737
- Equity at exit
- $53,454
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-63,649
- Equity at exit
- $30,997
Cash invested: $100,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30016
- Home prices YoY
- -8.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 419
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,880
- Tax from tax record
- −$280 /mo · $3,366/yr
- Insurance
- −$149
- HOA
- −$25
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$628
- Net cashflow
- $29
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,625
- Closing costs
- $10,755
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Hillside Oak Ln Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3129 | $2,975 | $0.95 | 18d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 40 Oakwood Dr Covington, GA | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2480 | $2,381 | $0.96 | 5d | 1 | 0.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $25 · $300/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $358,500 Coming Soon 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $358,500 Coming Soon 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $358,500 Coming Soon 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 563-char remark
-
2026-06-15$358,500 Coming Soon 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,366 · $280/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,366 · $280/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,908
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,082
- − Property taxes
- −$3,366
- − Insurance
- −$1,792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,873
- − Management
- −$2,873
- − HOA
- −$300
- − Depreciation
- −$10,429
- Taxable loss
- −$5,806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,394
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,742/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newton County
- NCES district ID
- 1303930
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,768
- Composite
- 19.2/100
- National rank
- #8816
- State rank
- #137 of 174 in GA
Livability — Porterdale
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #447
- US rank
- #21362
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Newton County · 104,393 people
- City population
- 76
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,968
- Household income
- $79,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1172.0
Population outlook (Newton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,372 people
- By 2030
- 124,234 · +5.0%
- By 2040
- 135,550 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 145,309 · +22.8%
- By 2075
- 166,843 · +40.9%
- By 2100
- 175,800 · +48.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Newton
- 2024 margin
- D (+15.1) · D 57.3% · R 42.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +14.0pp toward D · 2008: 1.2pp · 2024: 15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+15.1 2020: D+10.9 2016: D+2.4 2012: D+2.0 2008: D+1.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.68%
- Current HPI
- 317.5605
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
-45.4% since first listed19 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Coming Soon $358,500 GAMLS
- 2016-09-20 Sold (Public Records) $164,000 Public Records
- 2016-09-14 Sold (MLS) $164,000 GAMLS
- 2016-09-14 Sold (MLS) $164,000 FMLS
- 2016-07-29 Pending — GAMLS
- 2016-07-29 Contingent — FMLS
- 2016-07-22 Listed $159,000 GAMLS
- 2016-07-22 Listed $159,000 FMLS
- 2014-11-12 Price Changed $94,500 GAMLS
- 2012-09-06 Sold (Public Records) $96,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-30 Sold (MLS) $96,000 GAMLS
- 2012-07-12 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2012-06-27 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2012-06-20 Relisted — GAMLS
- 2012-06-20 Price Changed $94,500 GAMLS
- 2012-06-18 Price Changed $96,000 GAMLS
- 2012-03-28 Contingent — GAMLS
- 2012-03-22 Listed $85,000 GAMLS
- 2007-01-31 Sold (Public Records) $657,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,366 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…