3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,342 sqft ·
Built 2003
· Other
· Pending
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,223/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,468
Tax + insurance
−$327
HOA
−$25
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$467
Net cashflow
$-64/mo
Annual
$-771/yr
Cap rate
6.02%
Cash-on-cash
-0.98%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.79%
Cash to close
$78,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $280k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-64 ($-771/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (4.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $222k (20.6% below list).
Only 0 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $222k (20.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#13 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Ventana Ranch Elementary (641 students, 37% FRL); Tony Hillerman Middle School (1,035 students, 30% FRL); Volcano Vista High (math 47% / reading 77%, grade B-, #26 of 110 statewide, top 23%, 2,216 students, 24% FRL) — zoned schools average 31% FRL vs 60% district-wide (29 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 347 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.6% in Albuquerque — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7NE0QW0A97AG6Z
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29