3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,720 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 153 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,351/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$251
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$318/mo
Annual
$3,819/yr
Cap rate
10.31%
Cash-on-cash
14.36%
DSCR
1.64
1% rule
1.42%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $318 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 56/100 on livability (#1,108 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Springfield City School District (urban): math 20% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #616 of 656 in OH (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Warder Park-Wayne Elementary School (math 13% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,328 of 1,584 statewide, top 84%, 407 students, 0% FRL); Schaefer Middle School (math 20% / reading 27%, grade F, #597 of 654 statewide, top 92%, 268 students, 0% FRL); Springfield High School (math 17% / reading 31%, grade F, #665 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 1,516 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 75% district-wide (75 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 147 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 13d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 232 units permitted in Clark County in 2024 (116 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clark County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
9 sale attempts since 16y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (25%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $32k; list at $95k implies a 197% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 4.7% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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