3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,080 sqft ·
Built 2016
· Manufactured
· Active
· 176 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,424/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$288
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$299
Net cashflow
$-343/mo
Annual
$-4,117/yr
Cap rate
4.82%
Cash-on-cash
-5.27%
DSCR
0.77
1% rule
0.63%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-343 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (27.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $142k (36.7% below list).
It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($198k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $142k (36.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 61/100 on livability (#796 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Yankeetown School (math 37% / reading 42%, grade F, #1,513 of 2,144 statewide, top 73%, 265 students, 80% FRL); Nature Coast Middle School (math 32% / reading 42%, grade F, #399 of 571 statewide, top 71%, 90 students, 82% FRL, charter) — zoned schools average 81% FRL vs 62% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 82 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $109k; list at $225k implies a 106% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 37% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7NXRENCG3GBEJP
· Data 22 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29