2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
675 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Condo
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,712/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$933
Tax + insurance
−$170
HOA
−$439
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$359
Net cashflow
$-190/mo
Annual
$-2,277/yr
Cap rate
5.01%
Cash-on-cash
-4.57%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$49,840
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $178k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-190 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (18.8% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $171k (3.8% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($167k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $144k (18.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#76 in OR, #3,386 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
North Clackamas SD 12 (suburban): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #22 of 58 in OR (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Milwaukie El Puente Elementary School (math 34% / reading 15%, grade F, #309 of 412 statewide, top 77%, 418 students, 0% FRL); Happy Valley Middle School (math 41% / reading 56%, grade C-, #29 of 128 statewide, top 22%, 1,021 students, 25% FRL); Clackamas High School (math 52% / reading 67%, grade C+, #23 of 143 statewide, top 19%, 1,224 students, 27% FRL) — zoned schools average 17% FRL vs 34% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 1d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 946 units permitted in Clackamas County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Clackamas County population projected at +25% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
7 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $42k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 2.5% in Happy Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
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· Data 15 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29