3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,264 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,349/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$943
Tax + insurance
−$128
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$283
Net cashflow
$-6/mo
Annual
$-71/yr
Cap rate
6.25%
Cash-on-cash
-0.14%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.75%
Cash to close
$50,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $180k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-6 ($-71/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $179k (0.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (25.0% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#227 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime D, amenities F, commute F.
Western School Corporation (rural): math 48% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #44 of 301 in IN (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Western Primary School (576 students, 42% FRL); Western Middle School (math 43% / reading 54%, grade C-, #56 of 330 statewide, top 18%, 569 students, 36% FRL); Western High School (math 40% / reading 67%, grade C-, #97 of 369 statewide, top 26%, 824 students, 30% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 232 active listings in the ZIP; 194 units permitted in Howard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Howard County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $150k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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