3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,056 sqft ·
Built 2019
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 8 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,116/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$294
Tax + insurance
−$93
HOA
−$555
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$234
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-726/yr
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.63%
DSCR
0.79
1% rule
1.99%
Cash to close
$15,680
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-726/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $47k (15.6% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $47k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#270 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Coldwater Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #344 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Market conditions: 142 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Branch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Branch County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
50 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 213% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $19k; list at $56k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.3% in Coldwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7PQYD02HM089PP
· Data 3 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29