🏷️ Likely Rental
260 E Garfield Lot 58 Ave · Coldwater, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$56,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome home to this affordable 3 bedroom, 2 bathroom manufactured home located in the desirable Tallgrass Community in Coldwater! This spacious home offers a functional layout with plenty of room to spread out, along with lots of storage throughout. Enjoy the convenience of two full bathrooms, comfortable living spaces, and a shed for additional storage needs. Located in a well-maintained mobile home park, this home offers an affordable lifestyle with lot rent currently at $555 per month, water, sewer, trash & School tax is added separately and averages around $650/month total. A great opportunity for anyone looking for affordable homeownership in a convenient Coldwater location. Sch
Key facts
- Lots of storage
- Functional layout
- Tallgrass community
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Association fee $555 monthly
Exterior
- Home design: Residential property; Built in 2019
- Construction: Vinyl siding; 1,056 total building area
- Exterior features: Public water
Interior
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Has cooling
- Interior features: Seven total rooms; Basement: Other
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-726/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $47k (15.6% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.3% in Coldwater — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#270 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D+, amenities F.
- Coldwater Community Schools (town): math 26% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #344 of 540 in MI (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 140 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 43 units permitted in Branch County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Branch County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 50 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask is 213% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $19k; list at $56k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 50% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.63%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $129,888
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 58 Sherman St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,059 (+0%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $175 | 68 |
| 112 Elm St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (+7%) | 0mo | $81,000 | $72 | 49 |
| 36 Preston St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 1,023 (-3%) | 19mo | $90,000 | $88 | 49 |
| 284 S Jefferson St | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,118 (+6%) | 17mo | $92,250 | $83 | 48 |
| 269 S Sprague Rd | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 929 (-12%) | 21mo | $174,000 | $187 | 38 |
| 46 Stevens St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,188 (+12%) | 13mo | $146,000 | $123 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -23.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.20×
- Total profit
- $-12,571
- Equity at exit
- $8,350
- IRR
- -15.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.08×
- Total profit
- $-14,455
- Equity at exit
- $4,842
Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49036
- Active inventory
- 140
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,116 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$294
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$70 /mo · $840/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$555
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $-61
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,000
- Closing costs
- $1,680
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39 Whispering Pines Dr Coldwater, MI | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1012 | $1,040 | $1.03 | 44d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 313 W Chicago St Coldwater, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $555 · $6,660/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewertrash
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $56,000 Active 6 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $56,000 Active 5 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $56,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $56,000 Active 3 DOM
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2026-06-12remarks 695-char remark
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2026-06-12$56,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,137
- − Property taxes
- −$840
- − Insurance
- −$280
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,071
- − Management
- −$1,071
- − HOA
- −$6,660
- − Depreciation
- −$1,629
- Taxable loss
- −$1,299
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$312
- After-tax cash flow
- $-414/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Coldwater Community Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2610140
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,373
- Composite
- 26.87/100
- National rank
- #7101
- State rank
- #344 of 540 in MI
Livability — Coldwater
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #270
- US rank
- #6664
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Coldwater, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,697
Population outlook (Branch County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 41,079 people
- By 2030
- 39,622 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 36,584 · -10.9%
- By 2050
- 33,462 · -18.5%
- By 2075
- 26,612 · -35.2%
- By 2100
- 18,580 · -54.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 5% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Arabic 7% Spanish 5% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Branch
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.4) · D 28.0% · R 70.4% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -42.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.4 2020: R+38.5 2016: R+38.1 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+6.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -214.60%
- Current HPI
- 192.653
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-17.5% since first listed86 events — show timeline
- 2015-01-13 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-12-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-29 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,900 REALCOMP
- 2000-06-28 Sold (MLS) $18,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-01-28 Sold (MLS) $16,500 REALCOMP
- 2000-01-28 Sold (MLS) $16,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-08-25 Listed $17,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-08-25 Listed $17,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-08-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-08-21 Sold (MLS) $30,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-07-27 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-07-27 Listed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-06-04 Sold (MLS) $8,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-06-04 Sold (MLS) $8,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-05-21 Sold (MLS) $11,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-05-21 Sold (MLS) $11,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-05-03 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-04-26 Listed $18,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-04-26 Listed $18,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-03-05 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 1999-03-05 Listed $15,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-02-14 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 1999-02-14 Listed $9,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-02-12 Listed $10,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-02-12 Listed $10,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-01-22 Listed $14,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-01-22 Listed $14,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1999-01-14 Listed $31,500 REALCOMP
- 1999-01-14 Listed $31,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-11-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-08-31 Sold (MLS) $15,500 REALCOMP
- 1998-08-31 Sold (MLS) $15,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-08-11 Listed $16,500 REALCOMP
- 1998-08-11 Listed $16,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-08-11 Listed $16,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-07-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-07-17 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-07-17 Listed $17,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-07-17 Listed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-07-17 Listed $17,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-07-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-06-16 Listed $15,000 REALCOMP
- 1998-06-16 Listed $15,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-04-16 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-04-16 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-02-11 Listed $34,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-02-11 Listed $34,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-01-28 Listed $23,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-01-28 Listed $23,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1998-01-28 Listed $23,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-01-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1998-01-15 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-12-10 Listed $13,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-12-10 Listed $13,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-12-10 Listed $13,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-09-13 Sold (MLS) $20,000 REALCOMP
- 1997-09-13 Sold (MLS) $20,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-09-12 Listed $40,900 REALCOMP
- 1997-09-12 Listed $40,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-09-12 Listed $40,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-08-29 Listed $22,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-08-29 Listed $22,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1997-08-29 Listed $22,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-08-08 Sold (MLS) $7,200 REALCOMP
- 1997-08-08 Sold (MLS) $7,200 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-07-23 Listed $22,000 REALCOMP
- 1997-07-23 Listed $22,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-05-16 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-03-24 Listed $29,900 REALCOMP
- 1997-03-24 Listed $29,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-02-28 Sold (MLS) $14,000 REALCOMP
- 1997-02-28 Sold (MLS) $14,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-02-21 Listed $7,500 REALCOMP
- 1997-02-21 Listed $7,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1997-01-30 Listed $14,750 REALCOMP
- 1997-01-30 Listed $14,750 SW Michigan MLS
- 1996-09-17 Listed $17,500 REALCOMP
- 1996-08-03 Sold (MLS) $23,500 REALCOMP
- 1996-08-03 Sold (MLS) $23,500 SW Michigan MLS
- 1996-05-28 Listed $22,900 REALCOMP
- 1996-05-28 Listed $22,900 SW Michigan MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…