3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,148 sqft ·
Built 1930
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 272 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,051/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$787
Tax + insurance
−$154
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$221
Net cashflow
$-111/mo
Annual
$-1,328/yr
Cap rate
5.41%
Cash-on-cash
-3.16%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$42,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-111 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $130k (13.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $105k (29.9% below list).
It's been on market 272 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $105k (29.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#370 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
West Prairie CUSD 103 (rural): math 20% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #408 of 620 in IL (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: West Prairie North Elementary Sch (math 34% / reading 15%, grade F, #844 of 2,056 statewide, top 41%, 174 students, 0% FRL); West Prairie Junior High School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 99 students, 0% FRL); West Prairie Senior High School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #357 of 693 statewide, top 54%, 162 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 272 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7QG0B450S3FV9Z
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29