2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
938 sqft ·
Built 1977
· Manufactured
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,975/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,573
Tax + insurance
−$441
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$625
Net cashflow
$336/mo
Annual
$4,033/yr
Cap rate
7.64%
Cash-on-cash
4.80%
DSCR
1.21
1% rule
0.99%
Cash to close
$84,000
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $300k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (0.8% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Grafton (suburban): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #82 of 302 in MA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $110k; list at $300k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7R2QFRFWRQR0ZH
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29