8 Donahue Ln · Grafton, MA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $915 – $1,699
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.4/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$300,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fully furnished - Immaculate home - Beautiful 1/2 buildable 1 acre lot on dead end street.
Key facts
- Storage shed garage
- Half acre lot
- Stacked washer dryer
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.51 acres; Lot is cleared, level to gentle sloping; Public road frontage
- Financial info: Tax information not included per instructions
- HOA & community: Community amenities include shopping, park, walk/jog trails, highway access, and public school access; Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Open parking for 4 vehicles; Paved driveway
- Security: No specific security features listed
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer; 100 amp electric service
- Home design: Mobile home; White exterior color; Approximately built year (public records)
- Construction: Modular construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Exterior storage; Fenced yard; Fenced/Enclosed yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range/oven hookup
- Bedrooms: Number of bedrooms not specified
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring; Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 6 total rooms; Master bathroom present
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $300k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $336 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $298k (0.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $296k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Grafton (suburban): math 50% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #82 of 302 in MA (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 11% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,293 units permitted in Worcester County in 2024 (1,205 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($296k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $300k implies a 173% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.99% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.64%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.80%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-27,199
- Equity at exit
- $44,731
- IRR
- 0.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.05×
- Total profit
- $3,914
- Equity at exit
- $25,939
Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State Massachusetts
- 20 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 01536
- Home prices YoY
- -19.7%
- Active inventory
- 25
- Price-to-rent
- 8.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,975 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,573
- Tax from tax record
- −$316 /mo · $3,792/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$625
- Net cashflow
- $336
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $75,000
- Closing costs
- $9,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Prentice St North Grafton, MA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,850 | $2.37 | 14d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 100 Flint Pond Cir Shrewsbury, MA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 848 | $3,120 | $3.68 | 14d | 19 | 1.20mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $300,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $300,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $300,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $300,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-14remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-14days on market $300,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $300,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $300,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $300,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $300,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $300,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $300,000 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-03$300,000 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,792 · $316/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,792 · $316/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,805
- − Property taxes
- −$3,792
- − Insurance
- −$1,500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,856
- − Management
- −$2,856
- − Depreciation
- −$8,727
- Taxable loss
- −$835
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$200
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,233/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Grafton
- NCES district ID
- 2505370
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 60% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $90,025
- Composite
- 50.72/100
- National rank
- #1816
- State rank
- #82 of 302 in MA
Livability — Grafton
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 4,984
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,119
Population outlook (Worcester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 850,858 people
- By 2030
- 860,403 · +1.1%
- By 2040
- 869,902 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 869,110 · +2.1%
- By 2075
- 870,120 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 829,703 · -2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Two or more races 12% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Romanian 6% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 80% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Worcester
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.0) · D 53.9% · R 43.9% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.8pp toward R · 2008: 13.8pp · 2024: 10.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.0 2020: D+17.8 2016: D+10.5 2012: D+9.2 2008: D+13.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -60.39%
- Current HPI
- 245.9758
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.28%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 3 | $17B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $84B |
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| Retail | 2 | $76B |
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| Life Sciences | 1 | $43B |
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| Energy Technology | 1 | $31B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $18B |
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Price history
+100.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Listed $300,000 MLS PIN
- 2016-06-01 Listing Removed — MLS PIN
- 2016-06-01 Sold (MLS) $110,000 MLS PIN
- 2016-05-15 Pending — MLS PIN
- 2016-01-06 Listed $150,000 MLS PIN
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2023): $3,792 · +6.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…