3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,356 sqft ·
Built 1975
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,607/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,049
Tax + insurance
−$211
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$337
Net cashflow
$9/mo
Annual
$112/yr
Cap rate
6.35%
Cash-on-cash
0.20%
DSCR
1.01
1% rule
0.80%
Cash to close
$56,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $9 ($112/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $161k (19.7% below list).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $161k (19.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 85/100 on livability (#1 in OK, #557 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+.
Norman (suburban): math 27% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #61 of 270 in OK (top 23%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Jefferson Es (math 32% / reading 32%, grade F, #213 of 845 statewide, top 28%, 368 students, 0% FRL); Norman North Hs (math 45% / reading 57%, grade D+, #2 of 447 statewide, top 0%, 2,401 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 39% district-wide (39 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 42% at this address vs 30% district-wide (+12 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Norman average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 355 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 592 units permitted in Cleveland County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cleveland County population projected at +40% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $120k; list at $200k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.6% in Norman — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7RCH99CK58ZBDM
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29