2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,296 sqft ·
Built 1997
· Manufactured
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,172/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,030
Tax + insurance
−$588
HOA
−$212
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$456
Net cashflow
$-114/mo
Annual
$-1,369/yr
Cap rate
8.20%
Cash-on-cash
6.82%
DSCR
1.30
1% rule
1.11%
Cash to close
$55,020
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $196k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-114 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (10.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $196k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $176k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#82 in FL, #1,240 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F.
Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.4%/yr); 118 active listings in the ZIP; 34 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 5d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $28k; list at $196k implies a 602% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.2% in Largo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S30V51PWN8CSX
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29