4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,208 sqft ·
Built 1916
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 2 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,479/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$786
Tax + insurance
−$321
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$731
Net cashflow
$1,641/mo
Annual
$19,693/yr
Cap rate
19.43%
Cash-on-cash
46.92%
DSCR
3.09
1% rule
2.32%
Cash to close
$41,972
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#85 in PA, #632 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
Iroquois SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #236 of 539 in PA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; list at $150k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S91150BCDGG39
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29