Multi-family
4213 Iroquois Ave · Lawrence Park, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 90°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Listing remarks MLS
This kitchen and remodel will knock your socks off ! Vinyl premium laminate that is waterproof is throughout the first floor. Tons of kitchen cabinets & counter space will delight any home owner! Fully applianced. Laundry room and 1/2 bath off kitchen with back door to fenced in private yard. 2nd floor bath is LARGE! 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor and gigantic finished bedroom on 3rd floor. Full basement plenty room for storage & Bilco door to backyard. New updates - come see!
Key facts
- Front porch
- Full basement
- First-floor laundry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($20k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $150k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#85 in PA, #632 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+.
- Iroquois SD (suburban): math 39% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #236 of 539 in PA (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 48 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 364 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (188 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Erie County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $150k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1916 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1916 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 46.92%
- DSCR
- 3.09
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.91×
- Total profit
- $80,325
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 50.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.88×
- Total profit
- $204,923
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16511
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 48
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,479 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$259 /mo · $3,106/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$731
- Net cashflow
- $1,641
Break-even live
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $3,480 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,160 |
| Total (3 units) | $3,479 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1205 Priestley Ave Erie, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $950 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.30mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-24$149,900 Active
-
2021-10-18soldstatus $99,900
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $99,900 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
This kitchen and remodel will knock your socks off ! Vinyl premium laminate that is waterproof is throughout the first floor. Tons of kitchen cabinets & counter space will delight any home owner! Fully applianced. Laundry room and 1/2 bath off kitchen with back door to fenced in private yard. 2nd floor bath is LARGE! 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor and gigantic finished bedroom on 3rd floor. Full basement plenty room for storage & Bilco door to backyard. New updates - come see!
-
2021-10-15soldstatus $99,900
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
This kitchen and remodel will knock your socks off ! Vinyl premium laminate that is waterproof is throughout the first floor. Tons of kitchen cabinets & counter space will delight any home owner! Fully applianced. Laundry room and 1/2 bath off kitchen with back door to fenced in private yard. 2nd floor bath is LARGE! 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor and gigantic finished bedroom on 3rd floor. Full basement plenty room for storage & Bilco door to backyard. New updates - come see!
-
2021-07-21$99,900
-
2021-07-20$99,900 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
This kitchen and remodel will knock your socks off ! Vinyl premium laminate that is waterproof is throughout the first floor. Tons of kitchen cabinets & counter space will delight any home owner! Fully applianced. Laundry room and 1/2 bath off kitchen with back door to fenced in private yard. 2nd floor bath is LARGE! 3 bedrooms on 2nd floor and gigantic finished bedroom on 3rd floor. Full basement plenty room for storage & Bilco door to backyard. New updates - come see!
-
1977-10-17soldstatus $27,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,106 · $259/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,106 · $259/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,748
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$3,106
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,340
- − Management
- −$3,340
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable income
- $18,456
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,429
- After-tax cash flow
- $15,263/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Iroquois SD
- NCES district ID
- 4212210
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,338
- Composite
- 40.27/100
- National rank
- #3766
- State rank
- #236 of 539 in PA
Livability — Lawrence Park
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #85
- US rank
- #632
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lawrence Park, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,709
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 272,159 people
- By 2030
- 266,299 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 250,987 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 234,925 · -13.7%
- By 2075
- 199,164 · -26.8%
- By 2100
- 162,985 · -40.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.0% · R 50.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.9pp toward R · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: -1.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.0 2020: D+1.0 2016: R+2.0 2012: D+16.9 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.06%
- Current HPI
- 256.8088
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
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| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
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| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
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Price history
+455.2% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — GEBOR
- 2026-04-24 Listed $149,900 GEBOR
- 2021-10-18 Sold (Public Records) $99,900 Public Records
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $99,900 West Penn MLS
- 2021-10-15 Sold (MLS) $99,900 GEBOR
- 2021-07-21 Listed $99,900 West Penn MLS
- 2021-07-20 Listed $99,900 GEBOR
- 1977-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $27,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2026): $3,106 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…