3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,792 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 130 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,508/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$367
Tax + insurance
−$116
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$737
Net cashflow
$2,288/mo
Annual
$27,455/yr
Cap rate
45.57%
Cash-on-cash
140.28%
DSCR
7.24
1% rule
5.02%
Cash to close
$19,572
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($27k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $70k).
It's been on market 130 days — a 12% lower offer ($62k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $62k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#109 in WA, #2,154 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Kent School District (urban): math 47% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #109 of 291 in WA (top 38%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Panther Lake Elementary School (529 students, 73% FRL); Meeker Middle School (603 students, 74% FRL); Kentridge High School (2,034 students, 42% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 41% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.5%/yr); 169 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.5% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 45.6% vs local median 2.6% in Kent — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($106k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 130 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: bathroom vanity
— dated and in need of replacement
Moderate: kitchen appliances
— dated and in need of replacement
CashFlowRE · CFR-7S9NR86R80JV1S
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29