20 bd · None ba ·
4,248 sqft ·
Built 1922
· MultiFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$5,121/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,704
Tax + insurance
−$542
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$1,075
Net cashflow
$1,800/mo
Annual
$21,595/yr
Cap rate
12.94%
Cash-on-cash
23.73%
DSCR
2.06
1% rule
1.58%
Cash to close
$91,000
Investor read
This is a 4 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $325k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($22k/yr) — positive. Per door: $450/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $325k).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $320k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $32k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 67/100 on livability (#294 in VA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
Shenandoah County Public School District (town): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #91 of 131 in VA (top 70%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: W.W. Robinson Elementary (math 53% / reading 49%, grade C-, #733 of 1,108 statewide, top 66%, 1,061 students, 74% FRL); Peter Muhlenberg Middle (math 33% / reading 57%, grade D, #274 of 342 statewide, top 81%, 451 students, 73% FRL); Central High (math 46% / reading 66%, grade C, #275 of 319 statewide, top 87%, 749 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 73% FRL vs 37% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 224 units permitted in Shenandoah County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Shenandoah County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $91k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$56k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Exterior paint
— Light blue siding shows some discoloration
Minor: Landscaping
— Some overgrown vegetation
CashFlowRE · CFR-7TGEGF2M32D0F4
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29