3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,375 sqft ·
Built 1957
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 184 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,889/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,022
Tax + insurance
−$280
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$397
Net cashflow
$191/mo
Annual
$2,288/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.97%
Cash to close
$54,544
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $195k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $189k (3.0% below list).
It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($171k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $171k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 82/100 on livability (#11 in MO, #1,297 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Blue Springs R-IV (suburban): math 55% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #17 of 324 in MO (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Thomas J. Ultican Elem. (math 59% / reading 61%, grade B-, #120 of 1,115 statewide, top 11%, 430 students, 40% FRL); Paul Kinder Middle School (math 46% / reading 49%, grade C-, #88 of 391 statewide, top 24%, 729 students, 37% FRL); Blue Springs High (math 50% / reading 65%, grade C, #49 of 521 statewide, top 9%, 2,383 students, 28% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 243 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
3 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Blue Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7VK4M7043YXZEG
· Data 16 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29