3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,676 sqft ·
Built 1996
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 91 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,100/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,678
Tax + insurance
−$533
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$441
Net cashflow
$-552/mo
Annual
$-6,629/yr
Cap rate
4.22%
Cash-on-cash
-7.40%
DSCR
0.67
1% rule
0.66%
Cash to close
$89,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $320k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-552 ($-7k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $240k (25.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $210k (34.4% below list).
It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $210k (34.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $12k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $10k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 48/100 on livability (#151 in HI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Watch: housing C-, health & safety C-, schools D.
Hawaii Department Of Education (suburban): math 32% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #1 of 1 in HI (top 100%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 247 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 982 units permitted in Hawaii County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Hawaii County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$40k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 34% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7WHBGC2JAANQX4
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29