3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,044 sqft ·
Built 1961
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 29 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$990/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$271
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$208
Net cashflow
$155/mo
Annual
$1,856/yr
Cap rate
10.20%
Cash-on-cash
13.94%
DSCR
1.62
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $68k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $155 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($990 rent vs $68k).
It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($67k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $67k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#621 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
San Benito CISD (suburban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #782 of 826 in TX (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Cash El (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 623 students, 88% FRL); Miller Jordan Middle (math 9% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,543 of 1,662 statewide, top 94%, 640 students, 91% FRL); San Benito H S (math 32% / reading 2%, grade F, #1,460 of 1,632 statewide, top 91%, 2,012 students, 80% FRL).
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.1% of price; flood insurance adds $66/mo.
Market conditions: 440 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,326 units permitted in Cameron County in 2024 (503 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cameron County population projected at +3% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 3.7% in San Benito — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7Z5VE99ZYEZT2Y
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29