5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,089 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,205/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$708
Tax + insurance
−$305
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$253
Net cashflow
$-61/mo
Annual
$-736/yr
Cap rate
5.75%
Cash-on-cash
-1.95%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.89%
Cash to close
$37,800
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-61 ($-736/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $124k (8.0% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $120k (10.8% below list).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $120k (10.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#229 in MN, #4,836 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
Westbrook-Walnut Grove Schools (rural): math 42% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #213 of 301 in MN (top 71%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Walnut Grove Elementary (math 52% / reading 42%, grade D-, #492 of 857 statewide, top 61%, 297 students, 61% FRL); Westbrook-Walnut Grove Secondary (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #335 of 471 statewide, top 73%, 183 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 29 units permitted in Cottonwood County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cottonwood County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $75k; list at $135k implies a 80% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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