2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,108 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 18 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$973/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$341
Tax + insurance
−$78
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$204
Net cashflow
$350/mo
Annual
$4,201/yr
Cap rate
12.76%
Cash-on-cash
23.08%
DSCR
2.03
1% rule
1.50%
Cash to close
$18,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $350 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($973 rent vs $65k).
It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($64k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $64k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 58/100 on livability (#1,138 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, employment D, amenities F.
Illini Central CUSD 189 (rural): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #514 of 620 in IL (top 83%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Illini Central Grade School (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,054 of 2,056 statewide, top 54%, 252 students, 0% FRL); Illini Central Middle School (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #550 of 665 statewide, top 84%, 142 students, 0% FRL); Illini Central High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #528 of 693 statewide, top 82%, 185 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 44% district-wide (44 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 2 active listings in the ZIP; 7 units permitted in Mason County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Mason County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Current owner paid $27k; list at $65k implies a 141% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ZERAK5HAQD0Q2
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29