2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,008 sqft ·
Built 1986
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,849/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,044
Tax + insurance
−$454
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$388
Net cashflow
$-37/mo
Annual
$-441/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.79%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$55,720
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $199k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-37 ($-441/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $193k (3.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $185k (7.1% below list).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $185k (7.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 79/100 on livability (#20 in NH, #2,314 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
Laconia School District (town): math 24% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #89 of 98 in NH (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Woodland Heights Elementary School (math 17% / reading 32%, grade F, #230 of 263 statewide, top 91%, 304 students, 65% FRL); Laconia Middle School (math 28% / reading 29%, grade F, #75 of 96 statewide, top 78%, 408 students, 47% FRL); Laconia High School (math 32% / reading 37%, grade F, #73 of 90 statewide, top 83%, 590 students, 39% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+21.6%/yr); 186 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 301 units permitted in Belknap County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Belknap County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 29y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $170k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 1.8% in Laconia — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-7ZN2QWCDP2PXZG
· Data 6 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29