2528 Lake Ave

Duncan, IA 50423

$25,000A-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 480 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Active · 36 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $786/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$131
• Tax + insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$165
• Net cashflow: $454/mo
• Annual: $5,449/yr
• Cap rate: 28.09%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.84%
• DSCR: 4.46
• 1% rule: 3.14%
• Cash to close: $7,000

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $25k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($786 rent vs $25k).
• It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($24k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $24k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $3k of equity ($173 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 59/100 on livability (#856 in IA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, employment B+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, amenities F.
• West Hancock Community School District (rural): math 76% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #77 of 289 in IA (top 27%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hancock County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Hancock County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $7k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.