4 bd · 2.5 ba ·
1,897 sqft ·
Built 1924
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,650/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,311
Tax + insurance
−$833
HOA
−$80
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$556
Net cashflow
$-131/mo
Annual
$-1,576/yr
Cap rate
5.66%
Cash-on-cash
-2.25%
DSCR
0.90
1% rule
1.06%
Cash to close
$70,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $250k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-131 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (9.3% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($246k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $227k (9.3% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 76/100 on livability (#90 in MD, #3,396 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D, crime F.
Baltimore City Public Schools (urban): math 7% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #24 of 24 in MD (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1924 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents falling (-3.5%/yr); 41 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,273 units permitted in Baltimore city in 2024 (1,104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Baltimore County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1924 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
CashFlowRE · CFR-80E7583R4QEC2G
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29