3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,440 sqft ·
Built 1980
· Other
· Active
· 75 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,169/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$522
Tax + insurance
−$61
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$246
Net cashflow
$341/mo
Annual
$4,090/yr
Cap rate
10.40%
Cash-on-cash
14.68%
DSCR
1.65
1% rule
1.18%
Cash to close
$27,860
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $8k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#473 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
Morgan County R-I (rural): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #173 of 324 in MO (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-80RCFG714T81F4
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29