25246 Highway 135 Hwy · Stover, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.4/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$99,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Manufactured home on 5 acres with 2 car attached garage. 3 Br, 2 Bath home with plenty of privacy. Large living room and dining room. Beautiful land with lots of deer and turkey. Priced to sell at $99,500
Key facts
- Large dining room
- Attached garage
- Large living room
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $341 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#473 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Morgan County R-I (rural): math 38% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #173 of 324 in MO (top 53%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 14 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $8k of equity ($688 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.9% local appreciation)).
- Morgan County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (6.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.68%
- DSCR
- 1.65
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.00×
- Total profit
- $55,655
- Equity at exit
- $68,153
- IRR
- 26.8%
- Equity multiple
- 6.22×
- Total profit
- $145,515
- Equity at exit
- $128,742
Cash invested: $27,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 65078
- Home prices YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 83
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$522
- Tax from tax record
- −$20 /mo · $237/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $341
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,875
- Closing costs
- $2,985
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,500 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $99,500 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $99,500 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,500 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,500 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $99,500 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,500 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,500 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,500 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-05-13status Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Manufactured home on 5 acres with 2 car attached garage. 3 Br, 2 Bath home with plenty of privacy. Large living room and dining room. Beautiful land with lots of deer and turkey. Priced to sell at $99,500
-
2026-04-07status Pending 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Manufactured home on 5 acres with 2 car attached garage. 3 Br, 2 Bath home with plenty of privacy. Large living room and dining room. Beautiful land with lots of deer and turkey. Priced to sell at $99,500
-
2026-02-26$99,500 Active 204-char remark
Show marketing remark (204 chars)
Manufactured home on 5 acres with 2 car attached garage. 3 Br, 2 Bath home with plenty of privacy. Large living room and dining room. Beautiful land with lots of deer and turkey. Priced to sell at $99,500
-
2016-03-18soldstatus 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
5 acres with fixer upper! All electric, central air, forced air furnace & wood burning stove. Roof has been repaired & does not leak(per owner) but damaged ceilings in living room & dining room need replaced. Private well with working plumbing. 2 full bathrooms. 3 large bedrooms with walk in closets. Large dining room next to kitchen. Large living room. Large 2 car garage with 2 separate doors with openers. Remote location with no other homes around. Beautiful land with lots of deer and wild turkey.
-
2015-12-04$35,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
5 acres with fixer upper! All electric, central air, forced air furnace & wood burning stove. Roof has been repaired & does not leak(per owner) but damaged ceilings in living room & dining room need replaced. Private well with working plumbing. 2 full bathrooms. 3 large bedrooms with walk in closets. Large dining room next to kitchen. Large living room. Large 2 car garage with 2 separate doors with openers. Remote location with no other homes around. Beautiful land with lots of deer and wild turkey.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $237 · $20/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $965 · $80/mo
- Expected delta
- +$728/yr (+$61/mo · 307.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,033
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,574
- − Property taxes
- −$237
- − Insurance
- −$498
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$2,895
- Taxable income
- $2,585
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$620
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,470/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2929610
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $33,188
- Composite
- 32.47/100
- National rank
- #5714
- State rank
- #173 of 324 in MO
Livability — Stover
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #473
- US rank
- #18738
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,716
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,779 people
- By 2030
- 17,891 · -4.7%
- By 2040
- 16,227 · -13.6%
- By 2050
- 14,735 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 11,433 · -39.1%
- By 2100
- 7,717 · -58.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.7) · D 19.7% · R 79.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -39.1pp toward R · 2008: -20.6pp · 2024: -59.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.7 2020: R+58.2 2016: R+56.6 2012: R+34.1 2008: R+20.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.88%
- Current HPI
- 164.4454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
+184.3% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Relisted — WCAR
- 2026-04-07 Pending — WCAR
- 2026-02-26 Listed $99,500 WCAR
- 2016-03-18 Sold (MLS) — LOBR
- 2015-12-04 Listed $35,000 LOBR
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $237 · +27.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…