3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1 sqft ·
Built 1973
· Manufactured
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,911/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$446
Tax + insurance
−$142
HOA
−$900
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$401
Net cashflow
$23/mo
Annual
$271/yr
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.14%
DSCR
1.05
1% rule
2.25%
Cash to close
$23,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $85k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($271/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $85k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#81 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, crime D-, amenities F.
Adams 12 Five Star Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #26 of 86 in CO (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Rocky Mountain Elementary School (math 5% / reading 8%, grade F, #951 of 966 statewide, top 99%, 298 students, 86% FRL); Thornton Middle School (math 5% / reading 12%, grade F, #255 of 270 statewide, top 94%, 732 students, 90% FRL); Northglenn High School (math 16% / reading 38%, grade F, #257 of 381 statewide, top 68%, 1,959 students, 69% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 33% district-wide (49 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 14% at this address vs 38% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Adams 12 Five Star Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: HOA is 47% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 138 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,299 units permitted in Adams County in 2024 (343 in 5+ unit buildings).
Adams County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
14 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 2.8% in Westminster — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-80TP2QCZFT1N7K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29