3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1910
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 129 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,072/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$472
Tax + insurance
−$150
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$225
Net cashflow
$225/mo
Annual
$2,701/yr
Cap rate
9.29%
Cash-on-cash
10.72%
DSCR
1.48
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$25,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $225 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 129 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#305 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
East Noble School Corporation (town): math 32% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #216 of 301 in IN (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Side Elementary School (math 32% / reading 27%, grade F, #697 of 994 statewide, top 73%, 293 students, 64% FRL); East Noble Middle School (math 27% / reading 29%, grade F, #226 of 330 statewide, top 69%, 796 students, 54% FRL); East Noble High School (math 38% / reading 52%, grade D-, #166 of 369 statewide, top 45%, 1,054 students, 43% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 80% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 131 units permitted in Noble County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Noble County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 3y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 9.3% vs local median 3.6% in Kendallville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 129 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— Significant wear and tear
Major: roof
— No visible damage, but age is implied