4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,181 sqft ·
Built 1927
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 11 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$4,150/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$2,098
Tax + insurance
−$351
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$871
Net cashflow
$829/mo
Annual
$9,953/yr
Cap rate
8.78%
Cash-on-cash
8.89%
DSCR
1.40
1% rule
1.04%
Cash to close
$112,000
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $400k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $829 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#770 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, commute B; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
Amityville Union Free School District (suburban): math 23% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #579 of 590 in NY (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Northwest Elementary School (564 students, 62% FRL); Edmund W Miles Middle School (math 10% / reading 30%, grade F, #666 of 729 statewide, top 93%, 599 students, 75% FRL); Amityville Memorial High School (math 68% / reading 34%, grade D+, #969 of 1,100 statewide, top 88%, 968 students, 70% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1927 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 123 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 59% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 3.8% in North Amityville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 43% of the median local income ($117k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1927 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-81CWN0EX4SHGRF
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29