3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,189 sqft ·
Built 1963
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,022/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,253
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$425
Net cashflow
$162/mo
Annual
$1,945/yr
Cap rate
7.11%
Cash-on-cash
2.91%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.85%
Cash to close
$66,920
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $162 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (15.4% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $202k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $6k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (1.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#471 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rockbridge County Public School District (town): math 43% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #80 of 131 in VA (top 61%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Natural Bridge Elementary (math 52% / reading 57%, grade C, #650 of 1,108 statewide, top 62%, 221 students, 68% FRL); Maury River Middle (math 38% / reading 63%, grade C, #226 of 342 statewide, top 67%, 502 students, 70% FRL); Rockbridge County High (math 52% / reading 82%, grade B, #185 of 319 statewide, top 61%, 994 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 68% FRL vs 37% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Market conditions: 14 active listings in the ZIP; 85 units permitted in Rockbridge County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Rockbridge County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (1.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $67k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-822C1ZENBH67AH
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29