3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,500 sqft ·
Built 1997
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 41 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,907/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$262
Tax + insurance
−$83
HOA
−$500
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$400
Net cashflow
$662/mo
Annual
$7,940/yr
Cap rate
22.21%
Cash-on-cash
56.83%
DSCR
3.53
1% rule
3.82%
Cash to close
$13,972
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $50k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $662 ($8k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Jackman Road Elementary School (math 36% / reading 49%, grade F, #544 of 1,397 statewide, top 39%, 597 students, 29% FRL); Bedford Junior High School (math 30% / reading 52%, grade F, #195 of 493 statewide, top 41%, 911 students, 29% FRL); Bedford Senior High School (math 38% / reading 64%, grade D+, #142 of 713 statewide, top 20%, 1,294 students, 27% FRL).
Watch-outs: HOA is 26% of rent.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
6 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: interior walls/paint
— The interior walls and paint show some minor wear.
Minor: landscaping
— The landscaping shows some minor wear and could benefit from some maintenance.
CashFlowRE · CFR-82NXKE349RYXA7
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29